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The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in March is only 2.5%.

After the CPI data was released, according to the CME "Federal Reserve Watch", the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in March was only 2.5%, and the probability of remaining unchanged was 97.5%. The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by a cumulative 50 basis points through May is 0.2%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut is 11.7%, and the probability of remaining unchanged is 88.1%.

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2025-02-13 02:13:12
CME Fed Watch: The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in March is 8%.

On February 10, according to the CME Federal Reserve observation data, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in March is 8%, and the probability of remaining unchanged is 92%.

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2025-02-09 22:32:46
WOOX Research: BTC pullback does not break 97,000 USD is a normal range, $89,256 may become the bottom of this round of adjustment

On January 20th, according to WOOX Research market observation, BTC entered a correction state after touching $106,422. If the correction does not fall below $97,000, it is regarded as a normal range, and $89,256 may become the bottom of this round of adjustment. The current BTC market share is 58.49%.

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2025-01-20 07:50:24
Before the non-farm payroll announcement, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25BP in November was 93.1%.

On November 1st, according to CME "Federal Reserve Watch": The probability of the Federal Reserve falling by 25 basis points in November is 93.1%, and the probability of maintaining the current interest rate unchanged is 6.9%. The probability of maintaining the current interest rate unchanged by December is 5.2%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 94.8%.

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2024-11-01 12:29:59
US election observation: Many newspapers "backstabbed" Harris? How many well-known media this year do not want to take sides?

US election observation: Many newspapers "backstabbed" Harris? How many well-known media this year do not want to take sides?

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2024-11-01 02:44:51
Expert: The National People's Congress Standing Committee meeting in October this year will be an important time window for observing fiscal incremental policies

On October 7th, with the recent implementation of new policies such as reducing RRR and interest rates and reducing the interest rate of existing mortgages, many experts are currently looking forward to the introduction of relevant incremental policies in the fiscal sector. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yukai Securities, estimates that the gap between broad fiscal revenue and budget target revenue this year is close to 2.80 trillion yuan, so it can be considered to increase the size of the bud...

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2024-10-07 12:19:34
CME Fed Watch: The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in November rises to 60.3%

On September 25th, according to the CME "Federal Reserve Watch" data, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in November is 39.7%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 60.3%.

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2024-09-25 06:31:48
CME Fed Watch: The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in September is 31%.

According to CME Federal Reserve observation data, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 69%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 31%.

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2024-09-03 09:52:56
CME Fed Watch: The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in September is 30%.

According to CME Federal Reserve observation data, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 70%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 30%.

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2024-08-31 11:34:09
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